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Development of safety performance functions and crash modification factors for expressway rampsoa mark
  • Choi, Yoon Hwan ;
  • Park, Sung Ho ;
  • Ko, Hangeom ;
  • Kim, Kyung Hyun ;
  • Yun, Ilsoo
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Publication Year
2018-02-01
Publisher
Springer Verlag
Citation
KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, Vol.22, pp.804-812
Keyword
crash modification factorscrash prediction modeldesign elementsexpressway rampnegative binomial regression modelPoisson regression model
Mesh Keyword
Crash predictionDesign elementsexpressway rampModification factorsNegative binomial regression modelPoisson regression models
All Science Classification Codes (ASJC)
Civil and Structural Engineering
Abstract
The ramp is a typical section of expressway interchanges where design elements such as the grade and curvature complicatedly changes along the ramp. Dynamic changes in the design elements of ramps may seriously influence driving behaviors, resulting in more crashes on ramps than other freeway facilities. Therefore, there is a strong need to improve traffic safety of freeway ramps through in-depth studies regarding the effects of freeway design elements on freeway crashes. In this study, the crash data of 2007–2009 for expressway ramps, data associated with various ramp design elements, and the annual average daily traffic were collected. Using the data, three negative binomial regression models for the Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) were developed for individual ramp types, including direct, semi-direct, and loop types. Based on the SPFs, Crash Modification Factors (CMFs) were developed for selected design elements. For the validation of developed SPFs and CMFs, the frequency of traffic crash estimated using the SPFs and CMFs was compared with the actual frequency of traffic crashes. As a result, traffic crash prediction using the SPFs and CMFs was found out to be robust in general. The results of this study are expected to contribute to improving traffic safety on freeway ramps by quantifying the effects of diverse decision makings regarding ramp design elements on crashes.
Language
eng
URI
https://dspace.ajou.ac.kr/dev/handle/2018.oak/29988
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-017-0582-1
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Article
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Yun, Ilsoo윤일수
Department of Transportation System Engineering
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